Friday, January 16, 2009

Birds in the Super Bowl? Here's How.


As Andy Reid, Donovan McNabb, Brian Dawkins and others prepare for their 5th NFC Championship game, here's my take on what they need to do to win.

1. Protect the QB. Arizona is coming in to the game confident. They won their first game on the East Coast last weekend, their D picked off Jake Delhomme 5 times, and they finally found a running game. Because their playing at home, the only aspect of this that the Eagles need to be especially prepared for is their Defense. They're feeling emboldened and will no doubt attempt a variety of things to get to McNabb. Reid has to gameplan for this, and the O-line has to play well. In all likelihood, that means keeping them off balance with a mix of running and pass plays, and also beating the blitz and converting 3rd downs. Besides TDs, home crowds love sacks and turnovers, so we need to stay cool and balanced, and pick them apart.

2. Defensive status quo. With just a couple exceptions, the D has been playing well all season long. This is especially true since Thankgiving, since which the team has surrendered only 8 TDs and held opponents to 12 points on average in the 6 games. If they play as well as they have been, they should have no problem stopping Arizona's running game, forcing them to pass, and opening up Warner for pressure that he can't handle. If this happens, the rest will take care of itself, no matter how well Boldin and Fitzgerald play.

3. Limit dropped passes. The Eagles offense has not been playing great, but they've been getting the job done by playing better than their opponents--particularly since the Playoffs started. Arizona will likely score some points--their QB is after all a HOF'er who has had an exceptional year--so we're going to need to play better than we did last week to win the game. Conditions should allow for that given the weather in Arizona. Our WRs need to make some of the catches they dropped last week, and as I said above, the team needs to be able to convert 3rd downs like we did last week against the Giants. I think there's the possibility of the offense breaking out and having a big game, but I'm not counting on it.

If these three things happen, the Eagles win the game. The Cards will not fall easily--they only lost 2 games at home all season, and didn't lose at home until Week 12 when the Giants came to town. The Eagles are an experienced group, so I have no doubt they're doing the right amount of prep and aren't taking the Cards lightly. We just need to execute on Sunday and we just might make it back to the Super Bowl. How about that?!?!?!?!

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